This article originally appeared on The Grandstand.
Expert Picks get you ready for Day 2 of the U.S. Open, which is highlighted by an all-Canadian affair between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Denis Shapovalov. Ricky Dimon of The Grandstand and Tennis Acumen's Pete Ziebron preview the action and make their predictions.
(8) Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Andrey Rublev
Ricky: Rublev is one of the toughest first-round draws, it has to be said. He is a former U.S. Open quarterfinalist and he recently upset Federer in Cincinnati. That being said, he is being hyped as the Second Coming heading into the U.S. Open and people probably need to tone it down just a bit. Federer was rusty having not played since Wimbledon and Rublev has not done much at any slam over the past 23 months. The Russian has to be somewhat fatigued, too. Tsitsipas may be struggling, but at least he is well-rested heading into the season’s final major. And the Greek loves the big stage. Tsitsipas in 4: 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 7-6(3).
Pete: Rublev was the first of the Next Gen to reach a quarterfinal at a major, something he was able to accomplish in New York two years ago. As an alternate in the qualifying draw in Cincinnati, the Russian the proceed to eliminate Stan Wawrinka and Federer before falling to eventual champion Daniil Medvedev. Meanwhile, Tsitsipas has 13 career wins at the majors but just one in the Big Apple and arrives with a three-match losing streak in tow. That said, all three losses were competitive–especially in the Washington, D.C. semifinals against Nick Kyrgios. The Greek is firmly entrenched in the ATP Top 10, while Rublev will be looking to build on his promising results in Cincinnati going forward. However, Rublev will need to wait until later in the year as Tsitsipas prevails in the battle of the 21-year-olds. Tsitsipas in 4: 6-3, 6-4, 4-6, 7-5.
Denis Shapovalov vs. (18) Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ricky: In the long run I’m on the Auger-Aliassime bandwagon just like everyone else. He is a slam winner for sure and possibly a future world No. 1. For now, though, I’m not anywhere close to being on it. The 19-year-old Canadian appears to have hit the wall in what has been a breakout 2019 campaign. Most notably, his serve is an unmitigated disaster at the moment. Shapovalov has been struggling relative to his good friend and fellow Canadian, but he is coming off a semifinal performance in Winston-Salem under new coach Mikhail Youzhny. Unless Auger-Aliassime suddenly starts serving decent, Shapovalov should win this U.S. Open first-round rematch. Shapovalov in 4: 6-2, 5-7, 6-4, 6-4.
Pete: Ironically, these Canadian upstarts will be meeting in the opening round in New York in consecutive years. Two paths have diverged in the road since last year, and of the two it is Auger-Aliassime who has played significantly better tennis in the last 52 weeks. Credit Shapovalov for recently adding Youzhny to his team. This move will pay dividends going forward, but not nearly enough immediately to cause an upset in New York. Even though Shapovalov has five match wins in the last two years at this tournament, Auger-Aliassime will finally be able to record his first hard-court win at a major and avenge last year’s loss to his countryman. Auger-Aliassime in 4: 3-6, 6-4, 7-5, 6-4.
Steve Johnson vs. (28) Nick Kyrgios
Ricky: With no disrespect to Johnson, he will mostly be an innocent bystander in this match. Like many Kyrgios opponents (although certainly not all), the American will not have much of an impact on the outcome…which might be a good thing for him. After all, Johnson just lost the last two sets of his Winston-Salem semifinal against Benoit Paire 6-0, 6-0 after winning the first set 6-1. Kyrgios his been all over the place this summer both mentally and from a results standpoint. The Aussie will likely be up and down in this one, as well, but he is actually playing good tennis right now and he will be inspired by a U.S. Open draw that gives him some marquee matchups down the road while also providing a very real shot at the semifinals. Kyrgios in 4: 7-6(4), 6-3, 6-7(3), 6-2.
Pete: Kyrgios isn’t necessarily the $6 Million Dollar Man, but he is the “Six Figure Fined Man” as a result of his antics in a loss to Karen Khachanov in Cincinnati two weeks ago that cost him $113,000. The Aussie once again displayed his impressive capabilities and talent on court in winning Washington, D.C. earlier this month. That victory elevated him being seeded at the U.S. Open, a fact certainly not lost on the other 31 seeds in the draw. Even though he reached the semifinals last week in Winston-Salem, Johnson is scratching his head after being double-bageled by Benoit Paire when he was just one set away from the final. The American has fallen in the opening round in four of his last six major appearances. Kyrgios is already eyeing a potential third-round encounter with Tsitsipas and will do everything he can to ensure a rematch of their blockbuster Washington, D.C. semifinal a few weeks ago. Kyrgios in 4: 7-6(3), 6-4, 6-7(5), 7-5.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Tennys Sandgren
Ricky: Tsonga has quietly compiled a 23-14 record this season and he has not lost to anyone outside the top 35 since early May. The veteran Frenchman appears to be healthy these days, and when healthy he is always dangerous–especially on a big stage and on a relatively quick surface. Sandgren’s hard-court summer has been a complete debacle aside from a Winston-Salem first-round win over Andy Murray. Of course, Murray is not the same Murray…(yet?). Tsonga is not the same Tsonga, for that matter, but the 34-year-old is slowly making his way back and should have way too much firepower from the American in these conditions. Tsonga in 4: 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.
Pete: Tsonga’s losses at the majors this year have been to Novak Djokovic, Kei Nishikori, and Rafael Nadal. Thus he can certainly prevail in the matches he is expected to win in the best-of-five format. Unfortunately for the Frenchman, not being seeded leads to meeting the upper echelon of the ATP at the front end of majors. That said, Tsonga has reached the quarters three times in New York and given where he ended up in the draw, a berth in the quarters this year is not out of the question. Following a nice run to the round of 16 at Wimbledon, Sandgren picked up his lone win on hard courts last week in Winston-Salem–where he defeated Murray. Both Tsonga and Sandgren won titles this year, something that can not be said about both participants in these other three Day 2 matches. Tsonga recognizes that he can reach the second week in New York and will be dialed in right out of the gate. Tsonga in 3: 6-4, 7-5, 6-3.